Introduction
Many people are currently questioning the state of the market, given factors like trade tensions, war, market corrections in strong economies like India, and rising inflation.
It’s likely that you’ve encountered numerous sources claiming to have definitive insights into the present and future, but it’s important to consider the uncertainty of even our own immediate futures.
There isn’t a single, correct way to feel about this.
Market crashes can evoke intense panic as life savings dwindle and aspirations seem to collapse, triggering feelings of sadness, guilt, misery, and fear.
Since the beginning of 2025, countless articles, posts, and videos have emerged, often using sensational language and imagery, yet a comforting perspective is rare. Why?
Because panic is often artificially created rather than a natural response.
And inducing panic is an effective way to manipulate people’s actions.
Panic leads to fear-driven reactions, which in turn trigger defensive behavior. But how should one defend?
History provides a guide.
It’s better to proactively build a defense than to reactively defend against defeat.
That’s the motive behind this article.
To offer reassurance and emphasize that this downturn isn’t the end.
Yes, there’s a global decline, but that doesn’t justify giving up.
You might wonder why we’ve spent so long in this introduction.
It’s to help you become more comfortable with the feeling of panic. We wanted to acknowledge the shared anxiety before discussing potential opportunities.
We firmly believe that opportunities exist even during market downturns.
So, let’s explore some past events that offer comfort in times of uncertainty and explain why we believe the next crash could create millionaires!
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First, let’s revisit the most recent crash…
COVID-19: Fear, Panic, and the Market
During the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, every cough felt threatening. Fear dominated, leading to job losses, personal losses, and a sense of instability.
The stock market reflects human emotions and motivations. During COVID-19, fear prevailed, causing many investors to sell their assets, abandon their goals, and focus solely on survival.
But their approach was flawed.
Survival is admirable, but strategic planning is even more so. Investors who had planned ahead—by reallocating travel funds, making periodic withdrawals, or budgeting for long-term investments—would have seen substantial gains.
Despite the NIFTY index plummeting to 8,806.75, it has since recovered to 22,000.
If only investors had stayed invested!
But there’s more to consider…
The Global Crash of 2008
The collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 revealed deeper issues than just market instability. The company concealed $50 billion in liabilities using Repo 105, creating a false image of financial health. When the truth came out, the bank and the market crashed.
Strong financial statements don’t always reflect solid fundamentals. At EquityBox, we go beyond the numbers to identify hidden risks and opportunities, similar to Warren Buffett’s $5 billion investment in Goldman Sachs during the crisis, which yielded $3.2 billion in profits.
By 2010, the markets began to recover. Indices that had fallen by about 40% steadily rebounded and eventually reached new record highs.
2000: The Dot-Com Bubble—When Internet Hype Burst
In the late 1990s, every internet startup seemed promising, and investors poured money into companies with little more than a website and a vision. Stock prices soared, driven by speculation rather than actual earnings. The NASDAQ reached 5,048 in March 2000, and the digital revolution appeared unstoppable.
But then reality set in.
The bubble burst, causing the NASDAQ to plummet by 78% over two years. Companies without viable revenue models disappeared, and even major players lost billions. Investors who prioritized hype over fundamentals saw their wealth disappear quickly.
However, not everyone suffered losses.
Savvy investors seized the opportunity. While panic selling destroyed weak companies, strong businesses like Amazon, eBay, Google, and Apple became available at bargain prices. These tech giants not only survived but thrived, delivering impressive returns to those who believed in their underlying strength. Those who persevered saw their investments turn into gold over the following decade.
So, what’s the takeaway?
Investing requires thoughtful consideration. You might be wondering, how to identify which balance sheets are reporting the truth? Well, you wouldn’t—but we do! At EquityBox, we have spent 37 years building research frameworks to find strong investments. There is a reason why, out of 6,000+ stocks listed in India, we focus on just 250+ stocks—because we know it’s not just your money you’re investing—it’s your trust.
The Blueprint: How to Spot Life-Changing Stocks in a Crash
The most successful investors don’t blindly buy during market crashes.
They use a strategy to distinguish potential winners from losers.
Here’s how:
1. Identify Companies Likely to Survive
Not all companies can withstand a crash, but some are fundamentally resilient.
How to find them?
- Look for companies with low debt and substantial cash reserves.
- Choose market-leading brands that dominate their industries.
- Avoid companies with weak financials or excessive debt.
Example: HDFC Bank survived the 2008 crisis due to its strong foundation, while weaker banks failed.
2. Seek Stocks with Consistent Profit Growth
Even strong stocks decline during a crash, but only robust businesses recover.
How to find them?
- Examine a company’s earnings growth over the past 5-10 years.
- Verify that their revenue and profits are steadily increasing.
- Companies with a history of weathering downturns are likely to rebound.
Example: Infosys was undervalued in 2008 but had consistent revenue growth, leading to significant returns for investors who bought the stock.
3. Identify ‘Too Big to Fail’ Industries
Certain industries are essential to the economy and consistently recover.
Where to invest?
- Banking & Finance: Critical for economic recovery.
- Technology: Innovation drives long-term growth.
- Healthcare & Pharma: Essential for ongoing health needs.
- Consumer Goods: Demand for everyday essentials remains constant.
Example: Pharma stocks like Cipla and Sun Pharma surged after 2020 due to increased healthcare demand.
4. Monitor the Purchases of Major Investors
Prominent investors like Warren Buffett and Rakesh Jhunjhunwala often buy when others are fearful.
How to track them?
- Monitor investor portfolios to see their crash-time acquisitions.
- Review financial reports to identify stocks being accumulated by top investors.
Example: Buffett’s investment in Goldman Sachs during the 2008 crisis turned into billions in profit.
5. Adhere to the ‘Unbreakable Rule’: Hold for the Long Term
Panic selling is the quickest way to lose wealth.
Holding onto strong businesses for the long term is the best way to build wealth.
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History shows that every market crash has been followed by a significant recovery.
Investors who maintained their positions through challenging times have reaped substantial rewards.
So, how will you react to the next crash?
Another market crash is inevitable.
It could happen next year, next month, or even next week.
When it does, you’ll have two choices:
- Succumb to panic and sell in fear, guaranteeing losses.
- Follow the blueprint, invest wisely, and build wealth for generations.
The market crash is certain.
The only question is: Will you capitalize on it?
Above all, remember that this is not the end. You haven’t lost everything.
At EquityBox, we offer continuous support. Our advisors are available to address your investment questions, market concerns, or simply provide reassurance. We manage portfolios and ensure that our investors feel secure, knowing their investments are protected from market volatility.
Take a break from the constant market updates and reconnect with family, friends, and advisors. A calm mindset and clear perspective are invaluable during uncertain times.